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Election predictions and statistical independence
Tweet Here’s an article on predicting the UK election: CLICK HERE In the piece, I raise some queries about two very interesting articles from the excellent election news site May2015. The articles...
View ArticleElection Night Battleground Info-Sheets
TweetPlanning to avidly follow the election results this evening? No? Oh… Here is a seat-by-seat set of fact sheets for following each subcontest of the election, with 2010 results, predicted...
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Where it went wrong for the “Anti-Tory Majority”
Tweet Just before the UK general election last week, using the probabilities of victory for each party in each seat calculated by electionforecast.co.uk, I posted a set of PDFs for keeping track of the...
View ArticlePolitical Pi
TweetThe seat totals of the four largest political parties at the general election (excluding Northern Ireland and the speaker), 330, 232, 56, 8, appear in sequence, starting from the eighty-eight...
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82000 and all that
Tweet. The 82000 sequence that I posted the other day seems to have caught the imagination in a few quarters. Firstly, it led to a highly accessible and concise post from Professor Richard Green of...
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Interview: Carl Cullinane and the Democratic Dashboard
Tweet I recently interviewed Carl Cullinane, mastermind behind the fantastic electoral data website Democratic Dashboard, as part of my work for the Global Lab podcast. This was an excellent way of...
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US Electoral Maths – Seeing the funny side
Tweet Back in 2012, I had a go at doing some stand-up comedy on the maths of US presidential elections for Bright Club (a public engagement scheme for academics). Given that the US is currently...
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